Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.760913 3.186281 3.656502 4.215075 4.860861 5.584456 6.457406
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.221699 2.785157 3.461760 4.335000 5.433799 6.772817 8.532085
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.879935 2.532916 3.375708 4.545383 6.130784 8.210970 11.158054
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.576873 2.265645 3.213781 4.618093 6.652872 9.506202 13.833359
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.327663 2.021361 3.033413 4.623263 7.070561 10.716043 16.598390
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.091763 1.751583 2.766178 4.447449 7.181800 11.485224 18.834099
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.903073 1.519759 2.514655 4.245861 7.207038 12.108956 20.928287
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.801109 1.409814 2.436989 4.308279 7.664473 13.491033 24.503309
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.690155 1.265658 2.277924 4.201955 7.807582 14.349503 27.293075
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.647976 1.236222 2.312918 4.444619 8.611922 16.501582 32.818080
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.599360 1.186658 2.302532 4.598186 9.268239 18.471609 38.317646
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.541158 1.109311 2.227300 4.611713 9.647415 19.953579 43.072259
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.463026 0.982698 2.041762 4.383567 9.518634 20.434769 45.913885
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.434453 0.954734 2.052984 4.571199 10.305848 22.971849 53.744684
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.414659 0.942606 2.095802 4.835178 11.307800 26.147798 63.645033
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.384174 0.901833 2.069898 4.939566 11.962542 28.648479 72.420913
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.351474 0.850811 2.013099 4.962134 12.426705 30.779112 80.691246
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.310226 0.773006 1.882208 4.783496 12.364768 31.617082 85.796480
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.272596 0.698250 1.747391 4.572573 12.183361 32.119128 90.091605
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.254373 0.669884 1.723196 4.643843 12.756972 34.683189 100.589760
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.229138 0.619423 1.635379 4.531498 12.813594 35.869167 107.382010
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.223333 0.620167 1.681714 4.795195 13.969254 40.299481 124.661791
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.213568 0.608529 1.693057 4.962171 14.875968 44.177911 141.043940